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The Untrainable

Sarah Guo · 10 Jun 2026

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  1. The mid-2026 investor's version of AI psychosis is a despair that nothing is investable, that we should put all our money into Anthropic and Nvidia and go home. I have never felt it.
  2. What's legible is what's leaving. The valuable work is illegible by construction: anything you can put on a leaderboard, you can train against, so anything measurable is already on its way to commodity.
  3. Intelligence is not the bottleneck here. Permission is, and so is accountability.
  4. it only works if the model layer is a single-player game. It clearly isn't
  5. The despair is half right. The thin wrapper layer really is being absorbed, and a lot of what looks like a company today is a thin wrapper.

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