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Post 46: Reward Good Bets That Had Bad Outcomes

Neel Nanda · 22 Feb 2022 · neelnanda.io

3 korrents from this piece

Neel Nanda did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. It's obviously worth it to go on 99 unsuccessful dates if the hundredth results in marriage.
  2. Reality is not fully knowable. And thinking harder has costs.
  3. many of the smartest people I know are super insecure and risk averse.