2 korrents from this piece
Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.
Their wordsNobody knows for sure. We're in uncharted waters here, and I think even the LLM skeptics would have to say that the technology has taken us far past what many originally thought possible.
Our reading
Roughly half of the possible outcomes of advanced AI development would be good or great for society.
Their wordsThere is nearly an infinite range of outcomes here between being fine and being dead. Also, many of them - probably half! - have outcomes which end up being good, if not great, for society.