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Touchdown rates are noisy and opportunity-dependent, and don't transfer well when a quarterback changes teams.
Drawn from what Nate Silver said
What Nate Silver actually said
- Nate Silver Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight
TDs are both noisy and opportunity-dependent, and TD rates don’t “travel” all that well when a QB changes teams.
Added to korrents 7 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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