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Touchdown rates are noisy and opportunity-dependent, and don't transfer well when a quarterback changes teams.
Drawn from what Nate Silver said
A private bookmark. Not a position, and never counted.
What Nate Silver actually said
Word for word, with the source under each one. They did not write this page.
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight
TDs are both noisy and opportunity-dependent, and TD rates don’t “travel” all that well when a QB changes teams.
Where this was said
Added to korrents 7 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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