The performance gap between open and closed AI models has narrowed to roughly 4-6 months.

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Our reading — they may agree, disagree or merely touch the same thing. Closest first: a shared subject counts for most, then how near the wording is.

• The performance gap between closed-source and open-weight language models is closing. SRSebastian Ruder15 Apr 2024similar wordingResearch scientist at Meta working on multilingual models and evaluation
• There is a large and growing gap between open-weight AI models and frontier AI models. CWChris Wellons29 Mar 2026similar wordingSoftware engineer who writes about low-level and systems…
• The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet. TYTynan15 Jul 2026similar wordingAmerican writer and long-term traveller
• Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. RGRyan Greenblatt11 Aug 2026similar wordingChief scientist at Redwood Research
• A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year. JHJensen Huang8 Jan 2026similar wordingCo-founder and CEO of NVIDIA since 1993

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