Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← The frontier-model layer has to consolidate to a few players, because…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 28 Jul 2023 to 4 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under Google
Google
Everything filed under benchmarks
benchmarks
Everything filed under coding agents
coding agents Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The frontier-model layer has to consolidate to a few players, because only a tax collected from everyone building on top pays back pre-training and post-training. The frontier-model layer has to consolidate to a few players, because only a tax collected from everyone building on top pays back pre-training and post-training. Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
BT
Bret Taylor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. Last stated 6 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. — tap to centre the map on it After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. Last stated 6 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Bet on a system that is maximally learned and minimally constrained, and add structure only where it improves the scaling laws. — tap to centre the map on it Bet on a system that is maximally learned and minimally constrained, and add structure only where it improves the scaling laws. Last stated a month ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current AI techniques are four to six orders of magnitude away from optimal in data efficiency and test-time compute efficiency. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI techniques are four to six orders of magnitude away from optimal in data efficiency and test-time compute efficiency. Last stated a month ago
7 Aug 2026
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Large language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence of it has appeared. — tap to centre the map on it Large language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence of it has appeared. Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables do not control for how much test-time compute each answer used. — tap to centre the map on it Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables do not control for how much test-time compute each answer used. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Models resemble each other because pre-training is the same everywhere; what differentiates labs now is RL and post-training. — tap to centre the map on it Models resemble each other because pre-training is the same everywhere; what differentiates labs now is RL and post-training. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. Last stated 10 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago. — tap to centre the map on it Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago. Last stated 6 months ago
20 Mar 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Humans barely use reinforcement learning for intelligence — what RL they do use goes into motor tasks, not problem solving. — tap to centre the map on it Humans barely use reinforcement learning for intelligence — what RL they do use goes into motor tasks, not problem solving. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Auto-mode does not yet convincingly fix prompt-injection risk for coding agents. — tap to centre the map on it Auto-mode does not yet convincingly fix prompt-injection risk for coding agents. Last stated 4 weeks ago
8 Aug 2026
SW
Simon Willison — holds since 2026-08-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current prompt-injection defenses for AI agents (such as auto mode) are now reliable enough that agents can practically be assumed safe from successful injection attacks. — tap to centre the map on it Current prompt-injection defenses for AI agents (such as auto mode) are now reliable enough that agents can practically be assumed safe from successful injection attacks. Last stated 3 days ago
4 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Do not run a personal agent on a cheap or local model: weak models are gullible and easy to prompt-inject. — tap to centre the map on it Do not run a personal agent on a cheap or local model: weak models are gullible and easy to prompt-inject. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A crewed rocket cannot be made safe by making the booster reliable, so the only real way to improve safety is to carry an escape system. — tap to centre the map on it A crewed rocket cannot be made safe by making the booster reliable, so the only real way to improve safety is to carry an escape system. Last stated 3 years ago
14 Dec 2023
JB
Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A monopolist that can no longer grow by winning new users can only grow by making its product worse for the users it already has. — tap to centre the map on it A monopolist that can no longer grow by winning new users can only grow by making its product worse for the users it already has. Last stated 3 years ago
28 Jul 2023
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2023-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup does not have to set out to build the greatest business in history; a merely good business is a legitimate thing to aim at. — tap to centre the map on it A startup does not have to set out to build the greatest business in history; a merely good business is a legitimate thing to aim at. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The frontier-model layer has to consolidate to a few players, because only a tax collected from everyone building on top pays back pre-training and post-training.
Holds BT Bret TaylorRead this korrent →
A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number.
Holds NB Noam Brown
A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from.
Holds DP Dylan Patel
After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute.
Holds JH Jensen Huang
Bet on a system that is maximally learned and minimally constrained, and add structure only where it improves the scaling laws.
Holds DD Dmitri Dolgov
Current AI techniques are four to six orders of magnitude away from optimal in data efficiency and test-time compute efficiency.
Holds
Large language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence of it has appeared.
Holds
Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables do not control for how much test-time compute each answer used.
Holds NB Noam Brown
Models resemble each other because pre-training is the same everywhere; what differentiates labs now is RL and post-training.
Holds IS Ilya Sutskever
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Holds
Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago.
Holds
Humans barely use reinforcement learning for intelligence — what RL they do use goes into motor tasks, not problem solving.
Holds
Auto-mode does not yet convincingly fix prompt-injection risk for coding agents.
Holds
Current prompt-injection defenses for AI agents (such as auto mode) are now reliable enough that agents can practically be assumed safe from successful injection attacks.
Holds ZM Zvi Mowshowitz
Do not run a personal agent on a cheap or local model: weak models are gullible and easy to prompt-inject.
Holds
A crewed rocket cannot be made safe by making the booster reliable, so the only real way to improve safety is to carry an escape system.
Holds JB Jeff Bezos
A monopolist that can no longer grow by winning new users can only grow by making its product worse for the users it already has.
Holds CD Cory Doctorow
A startup does not have to set out to build the greatest business in history; a merely good business is a legitimate thing to aim at.
Holds AS Aravind Srinivas