The AI self-improvement loop needs to be significantly stronger to achieve a runaway intelligence explosion.

Drawn from what Noah Smith said

What this subject means

recursive self-improvement AI that improves AI: the loop where a model writes the code or the data that makes the next one.

What Noah Smith actually said

Noah Smith 27 Sept 2026, 07:20 UTC Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter

Given our best current data, the AI self-improvement loop would need to be roughly 5–10× stronger to sustain itself, let alone run away.

↗Where’s the “intelligence explosion”?noahpinion.blog

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