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← Republicans winning the House would be a 95th+ percentile outcome for the party.

11 connected korrents · 12 moments from 28 Jan 2022 to 31 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under war war Everything filed under Europe Europe Everything filed under Russia Russia Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Republicans winning the House would be a 95th+ percentile outcome for the party. Republicans winning the House would be a95th+ percentile outcome for the party. Last stated today 31 Oct 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: It would take a massive October surprise or a bigger-than-2016 polling error to save the Republican majority in the House, despite Republicans’ aggressive redistricting. — tap to centre the map on it It would take a massive Octobersurprise or a bigger-than-2016polling error to save the Republicanmajority in the House, despiteRepublicans’ aggressiveredistricting. Last stated 3 weeks ago 13 Oct 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: House Republican leaders can be counted on to keep backing US aid to Ukraine if the GOP wins the House — tap to centre the map on it House Republican leaders can becounted on to keep backing US aid toUkraine if the GOP wins the House Last stated 4 years ago 19 Oct 2022 DD Daniel W. Drezner — no longer holds since 2022-10-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. — tap to centre the map on it 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency,and it is a formula available toUkraine's allies precisely becausethey are not the ones doing thefighting. Last stated a year ago 10 Oct 2025 LF Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. — tap to centre the map on it 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actionsfundamentally shaped the world welive in today. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Sept 2026 MY Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it A ceasefire along the current lineswould end the killing and stillleave a long-term settlement betweenRussia and Ukraine possible. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 BM Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted. — tap to centre the map on it A nation of a million people cannotrule hundreds of millions bywarfare; the Mongol Empire lastedbecause it offered its subjectsthings they actually wanted. Last stated a year ago 31 Jul 2025 JW Jack Weatherford — holds since 2025-07-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people. — tap to centre the map on it A nuclear war between the UnitedStates and Russia would kill fivebillion people. Last stated 3 years ago 22 Mar 2024 AJ Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A price cap on Russian oil can reduce Russian oil revenue even with limited compliance, by strengthening buyers' bargaining position. — tap to centre the map on it A price cap on Russian oil canreduce Russian oil revenue even withlimited compliance, by strengtheningbuyers' bargaining position. Last stated 4 years ago 11 Oct 2022 SJ Simon Johnson — holds since 2022-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A coalition from the US and EU to Saudi Arabia and the Palestinian Authority should take Gaza from Hamas, rebuild it and demilitarise it — tap to centre the map on it A coalition from the US and EU toSaudi Arabia and the PalestinianAuthority should take Gaza fromHamas, rebuild it and demilitariseit Last stated 3 years ago 12 Oct 2023 YH Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2023-10-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it A company doing something at theedge of the Overton window has tohold two cultures at once — the truebelievers and the seriousprofessionals who think they arecrazy — and integrating them is whatmakes it work. Last stated 3 months ago 7 Aug 2026 MH Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it A heavily centralised state is themost fragile kind: when Rome’scentre failed, its successors wereleft without the resources oradministration to do what it haddone. Last stated 5 years ago 28 Jan 2022 BD Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Republicans winning the House would be a 95th+ percentile outcome for the party. Last stated 31 Oct 2026 · today Holds Nate Silver Read this korrent →