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← Outside the circle of competence, confidence does not diminish as fast…
17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 15 Jun 2012 to 8 Jul 2026. Nearly all of them are about mental models .
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under creativity
creativity
Everything filed under design
design
Everything filed under economists
economists
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Outside the circle of competence, confidence does not diminish as fast as competence, and the biggest risk is what one does not see.
Outside the circle of competence, confidence does not diminish as fast as competence, and the biggest risk is what one does not see.
Last stated 13 years ago
1 Dec 2013
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-12-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works. — tap to centre the map on it
A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works.
Last stated 9 years ago
by 12 Aug 2017
JC
James Clear — holds since 2017-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A mental model is an explanation of how something works, and each one helps in understanding a different part of life, such as markets, trust or decay. — tap to centre the map on it
A mental model is an explanation of how something works, and each one helps in understanding a different part of life, such as markets, trust or decay.
Last stated 9 years ago
by 12 Aug 2017
JC
James Clear — holds since 2017-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A mental model only helps if it is known well, practised, and applied in the right context at the right time. — tap to centre the map on it
A mental model only helps if it is known well, practised, and applied in the right context at the right time.
Last stated 10 years ago
by 6 Jul 2016
GW
Gabriel Weinberg — holds since 2016-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A small set of mental models comes up again and again in everyday decisions, problem solving and truth seeking. — tap to centre the map on it
A small set of mental models comes up again and again in everyday decisions, problem solving and truth seeking.
Last stated 10 years ago
by 6 Jul 2016
GW
Gabriel Weinberg — holds since 2016-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A thought experiment serves to encourage speculation and logical thinking and to change paradigms. — tap to centre the map on it
A thought experiment serves to encourage speculation and logical thinking and to change paradigms.
Last stated 5 years ago
1 Feb 2022
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2022-02-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any one person's list of mental models is shaped by their own experience and is likely incomplete. — tap to centre the map on it
Any one person's list of mental models is shaped by their own experience and is likely incomplete.
Last stated 10 years ago
by 6 Jul 2016
GW
Gabriel Weinberg — holds since 2016-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Everyone has a circle of competence, and it is very hard to advance — tap to centre the map on it
Everyone has a circle of competence, and it is very hard to advance
CM
Charlie Munger — holds since c. 1994 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Experimenting with mental models does not require high craft and is better done at speed, in the open, in iteration than by polishing something that is the wrong shape. — tap to centre the map on it
Experimenting with mental models does not require high craft and is better done at speed, in the open, in iteration than by polishing something that is the wrong shape.
Last stated 3 months ago
8 Jul 2026
MC
Meaghan Choi — holds since 2026-07-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes — tap to centre the map on it
A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes
Last stated 14 years ago
15 Jun 2012
BH
Ben Horowitz — holds since 2012-06-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. — tap to centre the map on it
A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way.
Last stated 6 months ago
2 Apr 2026
MS
Marvin Schwaibold — holds since 2026-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves. — tap to centre the map on it
A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves.
Last stated 4 months ago
26 May 2026
AM
Andy Madrick — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Argue like you are right and listen like you are wrong, with the humility to know what you do not know. — tap to centre the map on it
Argue like you are right and listen like you are wrong, with the humility to know what you do not know.
Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
AG
Adam Grant — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Continuing to learn means that today's views will probably look slightly immature and naive later. — tap to centre the map on it
Continuing to learn means that today's views will probably look slightly immature and naive later.
Last stated 6 years ago
13 Oct 2020
CP
Chamath Palihapitiya — holds since 2020-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People who succeed in an idea meritocracy balance assertiveness with open-mindedness, holding an independent opinion while knowing it could be wrong and being curious about it. — tap to centre the map on it
People who succeed in an idea meritocracy balance assertiveness with open-mindedness, holding an independent opinion while knowing it could be wrong and being curious about it.
Last stated 4 years ago
27 Sept 2022
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2022-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Development economists can contribute far less to a poor country’s growth policy in real time than either they or their critics assume. — tap to centre the map on it
Development economists can contribute far less to a poor country’s growth policy in real time than either they or their critics assume.
Last stated 5 months ago
6 May 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-05-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Letting people follow their own interests is desirable because no one can predict where they will come out — tap to centre the map on it
Letting people follow their own interests is desirable because no one can predict where they will come out
MF
Milton Friedman — holds since c. 1962 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus. — tap to centre the map on it
Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus.
Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2012 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Outside the circle of competence, confidence does not diminish as fast as competence, and the biggest risk is what one does not see.
Last stated 1 Dec 2013 · 13 years ago
Holds Shane Parrish
Read this korrent →
Same subject: mental models
A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works.
Last stated by 12 Aug 2017 · 9 years ago
Holds James Clear
Same subject: mental models
A mental model is an explanation of how something works, and each one helps in understanding a different part of life, such as markets, trust or decay.
Last stated by 12 Aug 2017 · 9 years ago
Holds James Clear
Same subject: mental models
A mental model only helps if it is known well, practised, and applied in the right context at the right time.
Last stated by 6 Jul 2016 · 10 years ago
Holds Gabriel Weinberg
Same subject: mental models
A small set of mental models comes up again and again in everyday decisions, problem solving and truth seeking.
Last stated by 6 Jul 2016 · 10 years ago
Holds Gabriel Weinberg
Same subject: mental models
A thought experiment serves to encourage speculation and logical thinking and to change paradigms.
Last stated 1 Feb 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Shane Parrish
Same subject: mental models
Any one person's list of mental models is shaped by their own experience and is likely incomplete.
Last stated by 6 Jul 2016 · 10 years ago
Holds Gabriel Weinberg
Same subject: mental models
Everyone has a circle of competence, and it is very hard to advance
Last stated c. 1994
Holds Charlie Munger
Same subject: mental models
Experimenting with mental models does not require high craft and is better done at speed, in the open, in iteration than by polishing something that is the wrong shape.
Last stated 8 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Meaghan Choi
Same subject: humility
A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes
Last stated 15 Jun 2012 · 14 years ago
Holds Ben Horowitz
Same subject: humility
A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way.
Last stated 2 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Marvin Schwaibold
Same subject: humility
A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves.
Last stated 26 May 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Andy Madrick
Same subject: curiosity
Argue like you are right and listen like you are wrong, with the humility to know what you do not know.
Last stated 9 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Adam Grant
Same subject: curiosity
Continuing to learn means that today's views will probably look slightly immature and naive later.
Last stated 13 Oct 2020 · 6 years ago
Holds Chamath Palihapitiya
Same subject: curiosity
People who succeed in an idea meritocracy balance assertiveness with open-mindedness, holding an independent opinion while knowing it could be wrong and being curious about it.
Last stated 27 Sept 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Ray Dalio
Same subject: economists
Development economists can contribute far less to a poor country’s growth policy in real time than either they or their critics assume.
Last stated 6 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Noah Smith
Same subject: economists
Letting people follow their own interests is desirable because no one can predict where they will come out
Last stated c. 1962
Holds Milton Friedman
Same subject: economists
Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus.
Last stated 1 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Tyler Cowen