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A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable.

Drawn from what Olivier Blanchard said

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surgical outcomes Measuring and publishing how individual surgeons and hospitals perform, and what those numbers can honestly support.

Does public debt cost what we think it does?under our view: The interest rate is a symptom of the economy, not a lever a central bank pulls

What Olivier Blanchard actually said

  1. Olivier Blanchard Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund
    A low r is actually a signal that something is wrong with the economy: In effect, if we think of the safe rate as the risk-adjusted rate of return on capital, the low safe rate is sending the signal that, risk adjusted, the return on capital is low.

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