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Third Parties Are On the Rise. America Could Be Next.

Yascha Mounk · 7 Oct 2026

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Yascha Mounk did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Our reading

    The rise of a successful third-party bid is more likely than it was in the past.

    Their wordsThe conventional wisdom no longer holds: The rise of a successful third-party bid is much more likely than it was in the past.

  2. Our reading

    A third-party breakthrough in the United States would likely involve a charismatic, wealthy individual running for president.

    Their wordsInstead, the most likely scenario for a third-party breakthrough would resemble some of the close misses of the past: A charismatic and (probably) rich individual would run for president without the backing of either the Democratic or the Republican Party, possibly succeeding in electing a number of senators or representatives on the candidate's coattails.

  3. Our reading

    A successful third-party candidate is likely to combine extreme cultural views with isolationist tendencies.

    Their wordsI fear that it is much more likely that a successful third-party candidate, whether on the left or the right, would combine extreme cultural views with deeply isolationist tendencies.

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