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Are we heading for an AI Hiroshima?

Timothy Garton Ash · 23 Aug 2026

Read the piece on timothygartonash.substack.com ↗

3 korrents from this piece ↓

Timothy Garton Ash did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Our reading

    The probability of some AI disaster is over 90%.

    Their wordsI’ve no idea what the p(doom) is, but I’m sure the p(somedisaster) is over 90%.

  2. Our reading

    Unlike nuclear weapons, AI has no logic of mutually assured destruction to tame US-China competition.

    Their wordsUnlike with nuclear weapons, there’s also no obvious logic of ‘mutually assured destruction’ to tame the fierce geopolitical competition between the United States and China.

  3. Our reading

    A single AI disaster is unlikely to be enough to make humanity act together to control AI.

    Their wordsIt therefore seems unlikely that just one disaster will be enough to bring us humans to our senses, acting together to control the superhuman power we are creating.

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