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The Irrelevant Investor

Michael Batnick · 28 Aug 2017

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Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. I've shared this admittedly cherry-picked chart in the past to support my view (which hasn't changed) that gold is a great trading vehicle, but it is not a great long-term investment.
  2. I like to say that the worst ten year period for any backtest is the next ten years, but I think that this simple trend following rule should continue to be effective in the future.
  3. The reason why trend following works with gold is because gold doesn't trade on fundamentals, it trades on sentiment and emotion, which looks something like this.

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