korrents

korrents · Lex Fridman Podcast · #415

Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415

Serhii Plokhy · 3h 20m · youtube.com

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Every claim below is a statement made in this recording, quoted word for word and linked to the second it was said, so you can hear it rather than take our word for it. The wording comes from the transcript published alongside the recording; the sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording.

  1. 0:01:25 · watch on youtube.com

    Very often people confuse three different processes that were taking place in the late ’80s and early ’90s, and the one was the collapse of communism as ideology. Another was the end of the Cold War. And the third one was the end of the Soviet Union.
  2. 2 min later
  3. 0:03:36 · watch on youtube.com

    And the Soviet collapse is continuation of the disintegration of the Russian Empire that started back in 1917, that was arrested for some period of time by the Bolsheviks, by the Communist ideology, which was internationalist ideology. And then came back in full force in the late ’80s and early ’90s.
  4. 1 min later
  5. 0:04:19 · watch on youtube.com

    So the most important story for me, this is the story of the continuing collapse of the Russian Empire and the rise of not just local nationalism, but also rise of Russian nationalism that turned out to be as a destructive force for the imperial or multi-ethnic, multinational state, as was Ukrainian nationalism or Georgian or Estonian for that matter.
  6. 1 min later
  7. 0:05:18 · watch on youtube.com

    The United States of America didn’t want the Soviet Union to collapse and disintegrate. They didn’t want that at the start of the Cold War in 1948. We now have the strategic documents. They were concerned about that, they didn’t want to do that. And certainly they didn’t want to do that in the year 1991.
  8. 3 min later
  9. 0:08:36 · watch on youtube.com

    What I think would happen one way or another is the Soviet collapse in a different form, on somebody else’s watch at some later period in time.
  10. 0:09:03 · watch on youtube.com

    But the biggest global thing that happened was redrawing the map of the world and producing dozens, if not hundreds, of new states. That’s the outcome of the different processes of the 20th century.
  11. 5 min later
  12. 0:13:42 · watch on youtube.com

    And the combination of all this factors led to the processes in which Ukraine’s decision to go independent spelled the end to the Soviet Union. And if today anybody wants to restore, not the Soviet Union, but some form of Russian control over the post-Soviet space, Ukraine is as important today as it was back in December of 1991.
  13. 3 min later
  14. 0:16:54 · watch on youtube.com

    So for him, the biggest tragedy is not the loss of life, the biggest tragedy is the loss of the great power status or the unity of those whom he considered to be Russian nations.
  15. 8 min later
  16. 0:24:51 · watch on youtube.com

    So very important to keep in mind that Rus is not Russia because that was a self-name for all multiple groups on that territory. And Moscow doesn’t exist at the time when Kyiv emerges as the capital. The first reference to Moscow comes from the 12th century when it was founded by one of the Kievan princes.
  17. 9 min later
  18. 0:34:00 · watch on youtube.com

    The elites would be integrated, and the empire was based on the state loyalty and the state integration. But once you bring in the factor of nation and nationalism and language, then, once in a sudden, the whole model of the integration of the elites, irrespective of their language, religion, and culture, starts falling apart.
  19. 10 min later
  20. 0:43:51 · watch on youtube.com

    If you focus on the years of collaboration, those were the same years when Joseph Stalin collaborated with Hitler, right? So, we have the same reason to call Stalin Nazi collaborator as we have the reason to call Bandera Nazi collaborator.
  21. 1 min later
  22. 0:45:13 · watch on youtube.com

    Again, we are talking here about myth and mythology, because Bandera was not leading the fight against the Soviet occupation in Ukraine because, at that time, he was just simply not in Ukraine. He was in Germany.
  23. 4 min later
  24. 0:49:38 · watch on youtube.com

    My understanding is there are Nazis in Ukraine and there are supporters of white supremacy theories, but also my understanding is that they are extremely marginal and they are more marginal than the same sort of groups are in Central Europe, maybe in the U.S. as well.
  25. 3 min later
  26. 0:52:45 · watch on youtube.com

    So, Ukraine is the country where there is no right or far right in the Parliament. We can’t say that about Germany, we can’t say that about France, so that’s just one more way to stress this unique place of Ukraine in that sense.
  27. 2 min later
  28. 0:54:45 · watch on youtube.com

    So, once you use terms “fascism,” and “Nazi,” and “denazification,” suddenly people, not just start listening, they just stop analyzing. And as a propaganda tool, this is, of course, very powerful tool.
  29. 7 min later
  30. 1:01:43 · watch on youtube.com

    So, there is a period of collaboration, and that’s what propaganda tries to define him by, or there is a Division Galizien by 20,000 people, and somehow it makes irrelevant the experience of 2-3 million people.
  31. 4 min later
  32. 1:06:03 · watch on youtube.com

    That’s the only way how you deal with propaganda, because propaganda is not necessarily something that is an outright lie. It can be just one factor that’s taken out of the context and is blown out of proportion. And that is good enough.
  33. 32 min later
  34. 1:37:58 · watch on youtube.com

    So, imagine under those conditions and context that someone is persecuting ethnic Russians or Russian speakers. One, to believe in something like that, one important precondition is never to step your foot in Ukraine.
  35. 15 min later
  36. 1:52:33 · watch on youtube.com

    You have Bolotnaya in Moscow and police violence, and that’s the end of it. You have the Maidan in Ukraine and you have police violence, and that’s the beginning, that’s not the end.
  37. 1 min later
  38. 1:54:02 · watch on youtube.com

    Russia and Russian identity was formed around the state, and has difficulty imagining itself outside of the state, and that state happened to be imperial for most of Russian history. Ukrainian project came into existence in revolt against the state.
  39. 7 min later
  40. 2:00:50 · watch on youtube.com

    So if NATO is the real concern, it would be probably not completely unreasonable to expect that if not every single soldier, but at least half of the Russian army fighting in Ukraine would be moved to protect the new border with NATO in Finland.
  41. 10 min later
  42. 2:11:17 · watch on youtube.com

    I asked people who accompanied Boris Johnson to Kiev that question, the answer was no. And I believe this answer, and I’ll tell you why. Because it is very difficult for me to imagine President Zelensky to take orders from anybody in the world.
  43. 7 min later
  44. 2:18:01 · watch on youtube.com

    So that means that no return to the borders of 2022 without political change in Moscow are possible.
  45. 19 min later
  46. 2:36:52 · watch on youtube.com

    So in historical terms and intellectual terms, what is happening today in the war between Russia and Ukraine is the vision on one level or another level that was formulated by the noble laureate Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, half Russian, half Ukrainian.
  47. 14 min later
  48. 2:50:58 · watch on youtube.com

    And then guess what? A few years later, the Soviet Union collapses very much also thanks to the mobilization of people over the issue of Chernobyl and nuclear energy.
  49. 12 min later
  50. 3:02:46 · watch on youtube.com

    But next accident would actually expose new vulnerability. You deal with Chernobyl and then tsunami comes. You deal with tsunami and then war comes.
  51. 3 min later
  52. 3:05:35 · watch on youtube.com

    And each major accident, that means global freeze on the nuclear reactor production for at least another 10 years. So that’s what I mean that nuclear industry is politic, not just in terms of technology and not just in terms of radiation, impact on health, but also politically a very, very unreliable option.
  53. 7 min later
  54. 3:12:28 · watch on youtube.com

    The right question to ask is how did it happen? What did we do so right that for now more than 70 years, we don’t have a world war? How come that after World War I, World War II came within 20 years?
  55. 3 min later
  56. 3:15:40 · watch on youtube.com

    So people who believe that they’re in control really are not in control, and that can escalate whether they very often against their wishes.
  57. 2 min later
  58. 3:17:50 · watch on youtube.com

    The crisis occurred because of the nuclear weapons, because Khrushchev put them on Cuba, but the crisis was resolved and we didn’t end in the third World War because of the nuclear weapons, because people, leaders were afraid of them.