My Automated Vehicle Safety Prediction for 2024

Philip Koopman · 29 Dec 2023

Read the piece on safeautonomy.blogspot.com ↗

Philip Koopman did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

Our reading
The self-driving industry's strategy of answering criticism with 'we are saving lives' has failed, and it will have to change both how it deploys and how it talks.

Their wordsAt a higher level, the real event was a catastrophic failure of the industry's strategy of relentlessly shouting as loud as they can "Hey, get off our case, we're busy saving lives here!"
Our reading
One company doing one ill-advised thing damages an entire emerging industry, which is why safety is a shared problem rather than a competitive one.

Their wordsThe Cruise debacle of the last few months proved (once again; remember Uber ATG?) that it only takes one company doing one ill-advised thing to hurt the entire industry.

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