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The Opening Argument

Kelsey Piper · 21 Oct 2026

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Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. I don't think if you let this runaway process of AI improvement spiral to its ultimate conclusion, you get a super-powerful, super-helpful assistant. I suspect you get something else entirely.
  2. if Anthropic is correct, if we now have AIs that are smart enough to considerably improve the process of training future AIs, and if things can be expected to speed up rather than slow down from here, then it seems very unlikely to me that this ends well.
  3. I do not ultimately expect that a world where humans are without economic value, where humans are not necessary to hold power or build things, is a world where humans retain significant individual rights.

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