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Joel Kotkin · 23 Sept 2026

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Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Rather than bursting at the seams, we are experiencing a demographic implosion that will shape our political and economic life for decades to come.
  2. Low fertility rates may boost dependence on the welfare state, particularly as informal networks - children, grandchildren, extended families, churches, and community organizations - weaken.
  3. Changes such as raising the retirement age could encourage people to work longer, reducing the need for mass migration and filling critical market niches.

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