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Import AI 477: In which I tell the IMF the Singularity has begun

Jack Clark · 19 Oct 2026

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Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Our reading

    The pace of progress in AI, and in science as a whole, should be expected to speed up in the coming years.

    Their wordswe should expect that in the coming years, the whole pace of progress of not just AI, but science as a whole, will speed up.

  2. Our reading

    If AI systems can solve problems creatively enough to succeed at science, that suggests they can generalize into many domains, including AI research, which could have an explosive effect on innovation.

    Their wordsMy view is that if AI systems can creatively problem solve to succeed at science, we should expect this to be a sign of their ability to generalize into many domains, including certainly AI research itself, which could have an explosive effect on innovation.

  3. Our reading

    An AI system that can do science should not be left to do science unattended.

    Their wordsJust because we have an AI system that can do science, that doesn't mean that it should be left to do science unattended.

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