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Things I Don't Know About AI

Elad Gil · 21 Feb 2024

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  1. Frontier LLMs are likely to be an oligopoly market. Current contenders include closed source models like OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, and perhaps Grok/X.ai, and Llama (Meta) and Mistral on the open source side.
  2. As frontier model training booms in cost, the emerging funders are largely concentrated amongst big tech companies (typically with strong incentives to fund the area for their own revenue - ie cloud providers or NVIDIA), or nation states wanting to back local champions (see eg UAE and Falcon).
  3. This creates an interesting long term way for Meta to control (& monetize) Llama despite being open source.

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