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Climate Lab Book

Ed Hawkins · 14 Apr 2026

Read the piece on climatelabbook.substack.com ↗

2 korrents from this piece ↓

Ed Hawkins did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Our reading

    The IPCC would likely have assessed a warming range of 0.4-0.8°C rather than 0.3-0.7°C if improved observational datasets had been available.

    Their wordsIt is therefore probable that the IPCC would have assessed 0.4-0.8°C rather than 0.3-0.7°C had we had the improved observational datasets.

  2. Our reading

    The IPCC AR5 near-term warming assessment was reasonable given the published evidence at the time.

    Their wordsOverall I think the assessment made by AR5 for near-term warming was reasonable given the published evidence at the time.

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