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The AI people have been right a lot

Dylan Matthews · 15 Apr 2026

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  1. The rapid success of deep learning wasn't something that even most computer scientists anticipated, or at least they didn't anticipate it scaling to the point we've seen now.
  2. The business community turns out to be disturbingly unprepared for a lot of scenarios involving rapid societal change, as seen during COVID.
  3. I still personally don't think we're going to have AI-directed robot factories in the desert anytime soon.

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