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Why AI hasn’t replaced software engineers, and won’t

Arvind Narayanan · 11 Jun 2026

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Arvind Narayanan did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. AI has compressed the middle of the sandwich, but has left the two ends largely unchanged.
  2. companies can't ship production software by hiring unqualified vibe coders instead of software engineers.
  3. The barrier isn't actually learning the syntax. It's having enough skilled judgment to make good decisions while maintaining accountability.

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