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Up the Stack: How AI’s Escape From the Commodity Trap Risks Enterprise Lock-in

Arvind Narayanan · 9 Jul 2026

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  1. First, infrastructure providers rarely capture the value they create.
  2. We believe that AI, at least in its current hyperscaler form, risks falling into the same commodity trap that has bedeviled so many previous infrastructure builders.
  3. Over the long run, we expect that AI will be an essential part of most knowledge work, and that the technology will be as transformative as the industrial revolution.

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