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Quick Note on Ridership Estimation and the STOPS Model

Alon Levy · 30 Jun 2026

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Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Our reading

    A new transit line still benefits riders it diverts from existing lines, not only the new riders it attracts.

    Their wordsRiders diverted from other lines still benefit from the project, especially in a case like QueensLink, where the diverted riders would enjoy an improvement in trip time to Midtown of about 10-15 minutes each way.

  2. Our reading

    A ridership-estimation model built for typical U.S. transit systems can give unreliable results in a complex system like New York's.

    Their wordsSTOPS is designed for quick-and-dirty calculations and is known to choke on New York.

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