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← People and their mental models

Jared Kaplan's mental models

2 claims Jared Kaplan made fit 2 mental models. Most often: Exponential growth, First principles. Everything they said here.

Models we see in what they say

Our reading: their claim applies the idea without naming it. The claim is theirs; filing it here is ours.

Exponential growth

Growth that doubles looks like nothing for a long time and then like everything; intuition is linear and gets it wrong.

Used by 13 others

Scaling results gave conviction that AI would keep getting smarter in a very predictable way.

  1. Jared Kaplan Co-founder of Anthropic These gave us a lot of conviction to believe that AI was just going to keep getting smarter and smarter in a very predictable way. Scaling and the Road to Human-Level AI (Jared Kaplan, AI Startup School, Y Combinator; speaker-labelled transcript)ycombinator.com · 16 Jun 2025All korrents from this piece
    These gave us a lot of conviction to believe that AI was just going to keep getting smarter and smarter in a very predictable way.

First principles

Reason up from what is known to be true, not from what is usually done or said.

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Asking very naive questions goes a long way in a young field like AI.

  1. Jared Kaplan Co-founder of Anthropic I think generally it's really asking very naive dumb questions that gets you very far. Scaling and the Road to Human-Level AI (Jared Kaplan, AI Startup School, Y Combinator; speaker-labelled transcript)ycombinator.com · 16 Jun 2025All korrents from this piece
    I think generally it's really asking very naive dumb questions that gets you very far.