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The typical AI researcher thinks there is roughly a 10% chance that AI will kill everyone.
Drawn from what Noah Smith said
What Noah Smith actually said
Word for word, with the source under each one. They did not write this page.
Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter
A few AI researchers pull up the average by being very certain that AI will kill everyone. But the typical AI researcher still thinks there's a ~10% chance that AI will kill everyone.
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Added to korrents 15 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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