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← The local AI niche will end up dominated by whichever open-weight…
17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 5 Apr 2025 to 22 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under semiconductors
semiconductors
Everything filed under software performance
software performance
Everything filed under the cloud
the cloud
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: The local AI niche will end up dominated by whichever open-weight model runs practically fast on high-end consumer hardware, like a Mac or a 'GPU in a box' rig.
The local AI niche will end up dominated by whichever open-weight model runs practically fast on high-end consumer hardware, like a Mac or a 'GPU in a box' rig.
Last stated 5 months ago
14 May 2026
SS
Salvatore Sanfilippo — holds since 2026-05-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will likely be run in the cloud rather than on native AI PCs. — tap to centre the map on it
AI will likely be run in the cloud rather than on native AI PCs.
Last stated a week ago
22 Sept 2026
MS
M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The biggest competitor to any new AI accelerator is the previous generation of Nvidia. — tap to centre the map on it
The biggest competitor to any new AI accelerator is the previous generation of Nvidia.
Last stated 11 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it
There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck.
Last stated 3 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Open-source and closed frontier AI models will both find lasting places in the market rather than one displacing the other. — tap to centre the map on it
Open-source and closed frontier AI models will both find lasting places in the market rather than one displacing the other.
Last stated a week ago
22 Sept 2026
BR
Barry Ritholtz — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Falling back to older 7-nanometre chips would not rescue AI compute, because the real gap between chip generations is twentyfold, not the threefold the flops suggest. — tap to centre the map on it
Falling back to older 7-nanometre chips would not rescue AI compute, because the real gap between chip generations is twentyfold, not the threefold the flops suggest.
Last stated 7 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: NVIDIA hardware is unlikely to become cheaper, keeping local AI data centers out of reach for small companies. — tap to centre the map on it
NVIDIA hardware is unlikely to become cheaper, keeping local AI data centers out of reach for small companies.
Last stated 4 months ago
25 May 2026
SS
Salvatore Sanfilippo — holds since 2026-05-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: More AI models that deliver top-tier performance at lower cost are needed. — tap to centre the map on it
More AI models that deliver top-tier performance at lower cost are needed.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
10 Sept 2026
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Inference, not training, is now the constraint, and specialized low-energy hardware will beat general-purpose GPUs and TPUs on latency. — tap to centre the map on it
Inference, not training, is now the constraint, and specialized low-energy hardware will beat general-purpose GPUs and TPUs on latency.
Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI makes it easier to add features, which increases the risk of product feature creep. — tap to centre the map on it
AI makes it easier to add features, which increases the risk of product feature creep.
Last stated 7 months ago
14 Mar 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An open-weight model is already all anyone needs; it is as good as the frontier models. — tap to centre the map on it
An open-weight model is already all anyone needs; it is as good as the frontier models.
Last stated a month ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — no longer holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: By 2027, open-weight AI models more powerful than today's frontier systems will be downloadable by any country or well-resourced non-state group. — tap to centre the map on it
By 2027, open-weight AI models more powerful than today's frontier systems will be downloadable by any country or well-resourced non-state group.
Last stated a month ago
19 Aug 2026
DT
Derek Thompson — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Chinese AI companies are the clear leaders in open-weight models. — tap to centre the map on it
Chinese AI companies are the clear leaders in open-weight models.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
21 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Countries will adopt open-weight models to get frontier-level AI capability inside controlled, sovereign environments. — tap to centre the map on it
Countries will adopt open-weight models to get frontier-level AI capability inside controlled, sovereign environments.
Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
SK
Sriram Krishnan — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Delaying the open release of a new capability by months or years is worth doing, even though preventing its spread indefinitely is not. — tap to centre the map on it
Delaying the open release of a new capability by months or years is worth doing, even though preventing its spread indefinitely is not.
Last stated a year ago
5 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Grok is a great choice for everyday workhorse AI tasks when speed and cost are factored in. — tap to centre the map on it
Grok is a great choice for everyday workhorse AI tasks when speed and cost are factored in.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
21 Sept 2026
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Is the page loaded?" was never a real question, and web performance only became measurable once it was broken into the distinct moments a user actually notices. — tap to centre the map on it
"Is the page loaded?" was never a real question, and web performance only became measurable once it was broken into the distinct moments a user actually notices.
Last stated a month ago
19 Aug 2026
AO
Addy Osmani — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Optimize it later" would be safe advice only if every engineer already knew how to avoid the architectural mistakes that no later optimization can remove. — tap to centre the map on it
"Optimize it later" would be safe advice only if every engineer already knew how to avoid the architectural mistakes that no later optimization can remove.
Last stated a month ago
26 Aug 2026
CM
Casey Muratori — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
The local AI niche will end up dominated by whichever open-weight model runs practically fast on high-end consumer hardware, like a Mac or a 'GPU in a box' rig.
Last stated 14 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Salvatore Sanfilippo
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
AI will likely be run in the cloud rather than on native AI PCs.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · a week ago
Holds M.G. Siegler
Similar wording
The biggest competitor to any new AI accelerator is the previous generation of Nvidia.
Last stated 12 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Satya Nadella
Similar wording
There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck.
Last stated 26 Jun 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Noam Brown
Similar wording
Open-source and closed frontier AI models will both find lasting places in the market rather than one displacing the other.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · a week ago
Holds Barry Ritholtz
Similar wording
Falling back to older 7-nanometre chips would not rescue AI compute, because the real gap between chip generations is twentyfold, not the threefold the flops suggest.
Last stated 13 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Similar wording
NVIDIA hardware is unlikely to become cheaper, keeping local AI data centers out of reach for small companies.
Last stated 25 May 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Salvatore Sanfilippo
Similar wording
More AI models that deliver top-tier performance at lower cost are needed.
Last stated 10 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Kent C. Dodds
Similar wording
Inference, not training, is now the constraint, and specialized low-energy hardware will beat general-purpose GPUs and TPUs on latency.
Last stated 30 Jul 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jeff Dean
Same subject: LLMs
AI makes it easier to add features, which increases the risk of product feature creep.
Last stated 14 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Justin Jackson
Same subject: LLMs
An open-weight model is already all anyone needs; it is as good as the frontier models.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · a month ago
No longer holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Same subject: LLMs
By 2027, open-weight AI models more powerful than today's frontier systems will be downloadable by any country or well-resourced non-state group.
Last stated 19 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Derek Thompson
Same subject: open source
Chinese AI companies are the clear leaders in open-weight models.
Last stated 21 Sept 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds Nathan Lambert
Same subject: open source
Countries will adopt open-weight models to get frontier-level AI capability inside controlled, sovereign environments.
Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Sriram Krishnan
Same subject: open source
Delaying the open release of a new capability by months or years is worth doing, even though preventing its spread indefinitely is not.
Last stated 5 Apr 2025 · a year ago
Holds Helen Toner
Same subject: software performance
Grok is a great choice for everyday workhorse AI tasks when speed and cost are factored in.
Last stated 21 Sept 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds Elon Musk
Same subject: software performance
"Is the page loaded?" was never a real question, and web performance only became measurable once it was broken into the distinct moments a user actually notices.
Last stated 19 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Addy Osmani
Same subject: software performance
"Optimize it later" would be safe advice only if every engineer already knew how to avoid the architectural mistakes that no later optimization can remove.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Casey Muratori